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Football in Cider's Projected Premier League Table as of 11/9/2017

Publish Date: 7/9/2017

We love predicting, so we thought we would predict how the English Premier League will look on Monday evening.(It's Thursday today)

shutterstock 454801561

 

How The Top of the Table Will Perform

Machester United & Liverpool

It is inevitable that United will continue to hold the summit and remain top dog. Klopps's Liverpool will also remain strong and keep second place after securing a memorable and classy win against their close neighbours and big money spenders City. Ultimately, Liverpool's relentless, insatiable and awe inspiring attack simply outgunned a hollow City side. When your defense is as permeable as Liverpools you have to be on the front foot, and they were. Tippy Tappy has no answer to the onslaught of a determined German Wehrmacht.

Chelsea

Chelsea, on the other hand, are mixing things up a bit. They will ominously move up to third after thrashing EPL newcomers and unexpected table toppers Huddersfield. Chelsea's win will only compound Manchester City's misery and with Pep Guardiola previously mouthing off how easy the Premier league is/was, Chelsea's leapfrog will be that extra bit juicy. Guardiola, on the other hand, will be hiding his blushes whilst his team slide down in a slippery 7th spot. Not as easy as you thought eh Pep! Tosser.

Arsenal

"I wan't sure I was up to it" - Wenger - stating the bleeding obvious

Arsene, on the other hand, will be holding his head high. Regardless of the incessant bombardment of insults, rotten tomatos and facts, his Arsenal side will limp up from 16th to 11th. Don't get too excited by this win though Arsene, there's going to be nose bleeds all round as the high altitude will almost certainly take its toll the following weekend, culminating in yet another dire drab defeat. Look out for that 4th step Arsene! It's a Doozey! Oh & regardless of this weeks win, your team is shit.

Scroll down past the table to see how the other half will perform.

 

The EPL Table (as of 11/9/2017)

FiC's Projected Premier League Table as of 11/9/2017
TeamPlayedPoints

Man Utd

4 12

Liverpool

4 10

Chelsea

4 9

Huddersfield

4 8

West Brom

4 8

Southampton

4 8

Man City

4 7

Tottenham

4 7

Burnley

4 7

Swansea

4 7

Arsenal

4 7

Watford

4 5

Stoke

4 4

Everton

4 4

Newcastle

4 3

Leicester

3 3

Brighton

4 2

West Ham

4 1

Bournemouth

4 0

Crystal Palace

4 0

 

How The Bottom of the Table Will Perform

In a nutshell, shit

Poor Bournemouth and Crystal Palace still remain bottom and pointless.

Very very pointless.

Great performances don't always earn points in the Premier League, but at least you'll soon face Pep and get some well earnt relief and an easy 3 big ones

West Ham, who before this weekend were also pointless, will have earnt some short lived relief by scraping un pois (that's 'one point') at home to Huddersfield. Someone needs to bring these Barking Mad Terriers down a peg or two, and the experienced relegation battlers are just the men to do it.

Proper Football

Well now you know what will happen, you can save a wad load of cash and go and watch some proper, real mans, football at the Almighty & Famous 'Spotland Stadium'! Rochdale are needing some support this season as they continue to out do all expectations. They have previous EPL Champions Blackburn Rovers visiting in what will prove to be a cracking showndown and surely attract a humongous crowd! Up The Dale!

Interestingly, FiC is predicting a draw with odds of 3 to 1 and a confidence of 50%. It'll be a great game but to be honest, there's better bets.

How Did We Predict this Table So Accurately

Simple! We looked at the Premier League Predictions and applied the predicted results to the current table. If a prediction hadn't yet been made, we applied an educated guess.

 

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Arbitrage Opportunities as of 4th September

Wow! We have loads of arbitrage opportunities this week! Including some premiership games!! Check out the full list below or go to This Weeks Arbitrage Sports Games for the latest opportunities.

The Vasco da Gama v Gremio38 game has my attention simply because it has a significant profit margin and the dates are close together. I'm hoping I'm going to be able to find a bookie that hasnt changed their odds yet. The dates are only yesterday after all.

Actually I have found an opportunity at first port of call!!!

 

Bet365 Odds for Vasco da Gama v Gremio38

arb 1

As we can see in the diagram above Bet365 are currently offering odds of 3.5 for a Vasco da Gama home win. These are great odds!  

Now lets see what Pinnacle has to offer:

 

Pinnacle Odds for Vasco da Gama v Gremio38

Pinnacle are actually offering better odds for a draw or an away win to Gremio. You can see this in the screenshot below:

arb 2

We will take the away win and draw odds from Pinnacle. What a bargain!

 

It's a Win Win Scenario!

As you can see between Bet365 and Pinnacle we can get the following odds:

  • Home Win: 3.5
  • Draw: 3.29
  • Away Win: 2.44

 

Unbiased Arbitrage Strategy

We haven't yet fully discussed biased and unbiasded arbitrage strategy here at FiC yet, but in  a nutshell, a biased strategy is when you prefer one result over another. An unbiased strategy is when you have no idea which result will eventuate,

FiC has been unable to make a prediction for this match so we will use an unbiased strategy as follows:

 

 HomeDrawAway
Odds: 3.5 3.29 2.44
Wager Amounts: $30 $31.91 $43.09
Profit: $0 $0 $0.13

 

The table above is showing us that no matter whether the actual result is a win, lose or draw, we stand to lose nothing. If the result is an away win we will make 13 cents. Any other result simply returns our money back with no loss or gain.

Now I only wanted to spend $100 (in fact I had to make it $105) and I didnt want to higlight to bet365 that I was using an arbitrage system so I used a rounded stake. If I wanted to make a profit no matter the result I could have changed my home win to just over $30, upped the draw stake slightly and reduced the away amount. We'll do this another time however. 

Risk Free 8% Per Annum 

I've given this a go myself. Worst case scenario, I make no money. Best case: I make $0.13 !! Which may not sound like much, but it is 0.4% overnight with zero risk. If I was to find just one of these a week I would be making over 8% per annum, again with zero risk! Not a small risk. Zero Risk. Roll on arbitrage!!

All of this and I have only looked at one game!! I wonder if the others are as good? :-)

 

Table Showing the Arbitrage Opportunities as of 4th September  

GameDateArbitrage IndicatorArbitrage Details
Man City v Liverpool (Premier League) 9 Sep 12:30 0.9902
 HomeDrawAway
Odds: 1.91 (28 Aug) 3.75 (22 Aug) 5 (22 Aug)
Wager Amounts: $52.87 $26.93 $20.20
Profit: $0.99 $0.99 $0.99
Everton v Tottenham (Premier League) 9 Sep 15:00 0.9983
 HomeDrawAway
Odds: 3.6 (28 Aug) 3.5 (26 Aug) 2.3 (22 Aug)
Wager Amounts: $27.83 $28.62 $43.55
Profit: $0.17 $0.17 $0.17
Vasco da Gama v Gremio38 (Brazilian Serie A) 9 Sep 22:00 0.9874
 HomeDrawAway
Odds: 3.10 (4 Sep) 3.25 (1 Sep) 2.8 (2 Sep)
Wager Amounts: $32.67 $31.16 $36.17
Profit: $1.27 $1.27 $1.27
Sao Paulo v Ponte Preta (Brazilian Serie A) 9 Sep 23:00 0.9949
 HomeDrawAway
Odds: 1.83 (1 Sep) 3.75 (2 Sep) 5.5 (2 Sep)
Wager Amounts: $54.92 $26.80 $18.27
Profit: $0.51 $0.51 $0.51
Verona v Fiorentina (Serie A) 10 Sep 14:00 0.9762
 HomeDrawAway
Odds: 4.5 (24 Aug) 3.6 (24 Aug) 2.1 (29 Aug)
Wager Amounts: $22.76 $28.46 $48.78
Profit: $2.44 $2.44 $2.44
Swansea v Newcastle (Premier League) 10 Sep 16:00 0.9938
 HomeDrawAway
Odds: 2.37 (30 Aug) 3.6 (22 Aug) 3.4 (22 Aug)
Wager Amounts: $42.46 $27.95 $29.59
Profit: $0.62 $0.62 $0.62
Sport Recife v Avai (Brazilian Serie A) 10 Sep 20:00 0.9821
 HomeDrawAway
Odds: 1.67 (1 Sep) 4.00 (4 Sep) 7.5 (2 Sep)
Wager Amounts: $60.97 $25.45 $13.58
Profit: $1.82 $1.82 $1.82

 

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233 Predictions as of 4th September 2017

There are 233 games available for prediction this week from 27 different leagues across 3 codes:

  1. Football
  2. AFL
  3. League

Do not forget to check out our popular Top Tips 

Fixtures

German 2 Bundesliga

Heidenheim v Regensburg
Ingolstadt v Erzgebirge
Bielefeld v Duisburg
Holstein v Kaiserslautern
Darmstadt v Bochum
Braunschweig v Sandhausen
Dusseldorf v Union Berlin
Nurnberg v St Pauli

Australian AFL

P Adelaide v West Coast
Crows v Giants
Geelong v Richmond
Crows v Giants
Sydney v Essendon

Argentine Primera

Sarandí v C Santa Fe
Sarsfield v Tucuman
Olimpo v Independiente
Belgrano v San Martín
Estudiantes v Justicia
Patronato v Argentinos Juniors
Racing v Temperley
Chacarita Jnr v Tigre
Godoy v Talleres
Rosario v San Lorenzo
River v Banfield
Atletico Lanus v Boca Juniors
U Santa Fe v Gimnasia

Brazilian Serie B

Guarani v Vila Nova
Goias v Parana Clube
Nautico v Brasil de Pelotas
Boa EC MG v Figueirense
Paysandu v America MG
Londrina v Ceara
Juventude v Internacional
Criciuma v Luverdense
ABC RN v Santa Cruz
CRB v Oeste

Brazilian Serie A

Atletico Mineiro v Palmeiras
Vasco da Gama v Gremio38
Sao Paulo v Ponte Preta
Paranaense v Coritiba
Santos v Corinthians
Sport Recife v Avai
Vitoria v Fluminense
Chapecoense v Cruzeiro
Botafogo v Flamengo

German Bundesliga

Hamburger v Leipzig
Borussia v Frankfurt
Mainz v Bayer Levkn
Wolfsburg v Hannover
Freiburg v Dortmund
FC Augsburg v Cologne
Hoffenheim v Bayern
Hertha v Bremen
Schalke v Stuttgart

English Championship

Derby v Hull
QPR v Ipswich
Reading v Bristol C
Sunderland v Sheff Utd
Wolves v Millwall
Villa v Brentford
Norwich v Birmingham
Leeds v Burton
Preston v Barnsley
Fulham v Cardiff
Bolton v Middlesbrough
Shef Wed v Forest

Danish Superliga

Horsens v Nordsjalland
Copenhagen v Midtjylland
Hobro IK v SonderjyskE
Aarhus v Randers
Lyngby v Helsingor
Hobro IK v SonderjyskE
Copenhagen v Midtjylland
Odense v Brondby
Aalborg v Silkeborg

Dutch Eredivisie

Heracles v Feyenoord
Willem II v ADO Den Haag
Ajax v Zwolle
Excelsior v Vitesse
Heerenveen v PSV
Rotterdam v Twente
Utrecht v Kerkrade
Alkmaar v Breda
Groningen v Venlo

English North Conference

Kidderminster v Curzon
FC United v Blyth
Gainsborough v Bradford
Nuneaton v Telford
Leamington v Alfreton
Harrogate v Salford
Spennymoor v York
Stockport v Southport
Brackley v Tamworth
Boston v Ferriby
Chorley v Darlington

English South Conference

Ham & Rich v Chelmsford
Bognor v Hungerford
Poole v Hempstead
Havant v Truro
Eastbourne v Concord
Chippenham v Gloucester
Whitehawk v Dartford
Braintree v Welling
Bath v Oxford C
WSM v Wealdstone

Finnish Veikkausliiga

Rovaniemi v Kemi
Jyvaskyla v Lahti
Turku v Ilves
Kuopio v SJK
HIFK Helsinki v Mariehamn
Vaasa v HJK Helsinki

Spanish La Liga

Leganes v Getafe
R Madrid v Levante UD
Valencia v A Madrid
Sevilla v Eibar
Barcelona v Espanyol
Deportivo v Sociedad
Bilbao v Girona
Celta v Alaves
Villarreal v Betis
Malaga v Las Palmas

Spanish La Liga 2

Alcorcon v Albacete

English League 1

Scunthorpe v Blackpool
Oxford U v Gillingham
Shrewsbury v Wigan
Peterborough U v Bradford
Charlton v Southend
Wimbledon AFC v Portsmouth
Northampton v Doncaster
Plymouth v MK Dons
Bristol R v Walsall
Rotherham v Bury
Fleetwood v Oldham
Rochdale v Blackburn

French Ligue 2

Niort v Paris FC
GFC Ajaccio v Sochaux
Chateauroux v Quevilly
Clermont v Bourg
Nancy v Valenciennes
AC Ajaccio v N Olympique
Auxerre v Tours
Le Havre v Orleans
Lens v Lorient
Reims v Brest
National League: Solihull v Chester

Australian NRL

Roosters v Broncos
Storm v Eels
Sea Eagles v Panthers
Sharks v Cowboys

Portuguese Primeira Liga

Feirense v Lisbon
Benfica v Portimonense
Tondela v Ferreira
C.S. Maritimo v Rio Ave
Porto v Chaves
Benfica v Portimonense
Setubal v Braga
Feirense v Lisbon
Guimaraes v Boavista
Estoril v Moreirense
Aves v Belenenses

English Premier League

Man City v Liverpool
Arsenal v Bournemouth
Brighton v West Brom
Everton v Tottenham
Leicester v Chelsea
Southampton v Watford
Stoke v Man Utd
Burnley v Palace
Swansea v Newcastle
West Ham v Huddersfield

Russian Premiership

Perm v CSKA
Dinamo Moscow v Petersburg
Ufa v Krasnodar
Rostov v Arsenal T
Spartak v Kazan
Grozny v Lokomotiv
Tosno v Makhachkala
Ural v Khabarovsk

Scottish Premiership

Hamilton v Celtic
Hearts v Aberdeen
Motherwell v Kilmarnock
Rangers v Dundee
Ross County v Partick
St Johnstone v Hibernian

Scottish Championship

Livingston v QotS
Morton v Dunfermline
Dundee v Dumbarton
Brechin City v Falkirk
St Mirren v Inverness

Italian Serie A

Juventus v Chievo
Sampdoria v Roma
Inter v SPAL
Verona v Fiorentina
Atalanta v Sassuolo
Udinese v Genoa
Cagliari v Crotone
Lazio v Milan
Benevento v Torino
Bologna v Napoli

Swedish Allsvenskan

Ostersunds v AFC United
Halmstads v Hacken
Hammarby v AIK
Orebro v Malmo
Elfsborg v Kalmar
Sirius v Sundsvall
Jonkopings v Norrkoping
Goteborg v Djurgardens

Swedish Superettan

Goteborg v Orgryte
Norrby v Varbergs
Aatvidaberg v Varnamo
Helsingborgs v Dalkurd

Turkish Super Lig

Kardemir v Besiktas
Sivasspor v Kayserispor
Fenerbahce v Istanbul
Konyaspor v Alanyaspor
Osmanlispor v Goztepe
Trabzonspor v Genclerbirligi
Antalyaspor v Galatasaray
Bursaspor v Belediyespor
Kasimpasa v Malatyaspor

US Major League

NY City v Kansas
Chicago v NY Red Bulls
Toronto v San Jose
NY City v Portland
D.C. v Orlando
New England v Montreal
Minnesota v Philadelphia
Houston v Colorado
Vancouver Whitecaps v Salt Lake
Columbus v Kansas
Atlanta v Dallas
Seattle v LA Galaxy

Notes

This page lists the weeks fixtures that were used to create our predictions. You can click on the league or code which will take you to the latest predictions.  

We are not always able to create a prediction for a fixture due to a number of reasons, there may be no recongnisable patterns or not enough recent games for example.

 

As always, please follow us on Facebook, Twitter, Google+ or Instagram and let us know your thoughts